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Mortgage News Daily·Nov 5, 202645 signal

Modestly Weaker For a Few Potential Reasons

Bonds are starting the day a few bps weaker. 10yr yields are just over 4.90% and considering they were almost 50bps higher a month ago, you're free to go about your business today without scrutinizing this morning's baby bump. It could be purely incidental. But for those who demand scapegoats, the easiest suspect to blame would be corporate debt issuance from Apple, which coincided with bonds breaking away from their overnight stock market correlation. In the bigger picture, we could consider investors might wonder if the NASDAQ just had another summer-sized correction and might now find support. Lastly, we might consider the bond market correction has similarly covered enough ground as to merit a bit of cooling.  All of that is speculative, of course. If stocks resume tanking or if the econ data gets bad, the good times could easily resume. But if stocks move back toward all-time highs and the data improves, it would make sense for the recent bull run in bonds to find resistance here.

Economy
TradingView·Nov 5, 202647 signal

Czech central bank voted 4-3 for rate hike on Thursday

The Czech central bank's board voted 4-3 to raise the main repo rate (CZCBIR=ECI) by 25 basis points to 4.00% on Thursday, the bank said, with the three dissenters wanting no change.The bank said that its updated economic forecast was consistent with a rise in market interest rates, a proxy for off...

Economy
Kiplinger·Nov 5, 202645 signal

What to Expect From the October Jobs Report

"The jobless rate is lower than a year ago, and payroll growth is noticeably above last year's pace," Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh said during his press conference following the October Fed meeting. In...

Economy
investingLive·Nov 5, 202645 signal

US initial jobless claims 189K vs 196K estimate

Prior week initial claims 194KPrior week continuing claims 1.701MDetailsInitial jobless claims (October 31) fell 6,000 to 189,000. Prior revised to 195,000 from 194,000.Initial claims four-week average fell...

Economy
Business Insider Africa·Nov 5, 202645 signal

Ethiopia’s $210.7 billion economy shoots it into Africa’s top five economic giants' ranking, overtaking Morocco

Ethiopia has joined Africa’s five largest economies after a major statistical overhaul lifted its measured gross domestic product (GDP) to $210.7 billion for the 2025/26 fiscal year, placing it among the continent’s leading economic powers alongside South Africa, Egypt, Nigeria and Algeria. | Business Insider Africa

Economy
KLSE Screener·Nov 5, 202645 signal

Economists expect inflation to push OPR up next year

Economists broadly expect Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) to raise the overnight policy rate (OPR) next year, as resilient economic growth and the prospect of higher inflation in 2027 could pave the way for monetary policy normalisation.

Economy
The Edge Malaysia·Nov 5, 202645 signal

Economists expect inflation to push OPR up next year

Economists broadly expect Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) to raise the overnight policy rate (OPR) next year, as resilient economic growth and the prospect of higher inflation in 2027 could pave the way for monetary policy normalisation.

Economy
Mitrade·Nov 5, 202652 signal

British Pound: Supported by BoE hike expectations and softer Dollar – MUFG

MUFG’s Lee Hardman reports that the Pound has benefited from broad US Dollar weakness, with GBP/USD briefly above 1.3500 and EUR/GBP near 0.8300. Markets expect the BoE to deliver its first rate hike since the US-Iran conflict began, though MUFG anticipates cautious forward guidance and fewer hikes than currently priced, limiting but not reversing recent Pound strength.

EconomyMUFG